Bull, base and bear cases for a company with line-item assumptions, justified probabilities, a value for each case, and the probability-weighted expected return.
Overview
Short answer
Scenario analysis is a valuation skill by Bigdata.com. It builds bull, base and bear cases for a company with line-item assumptions, justified probabilities, a value for each case, and the probability-weighted expected return. You give it a company name or ticker. You get three scenarios with a probability-weighted value and inline citations.
You give
Company name or ticker · Optional: your own assumptions
You get
Three scenarios with a probability-weighted value and inline citations.
Each note is grounded in Bigdata.com content: news, filings, earnings call transcripts and market data, with citations you can open.
- 01The 2–3 variables the scenarios turn on
- 02Line-item assumptions for each scenario
- 03Probabilities with reasons, adding up to 100%
- 04A value or price for each scenario, with the bridge shown
- 05Probability-weighted expected value and expected return against the current price
- 06Upside and downside skew and the risk-reward ratio
- 07What would move probability between the cases
- 08Sources with inline citations
Try asking
Open a prompt in Claude or ChatGPT, or copy it. Change the company or the quarter to your own. If Bigdata.com is not connected yet, the assistant helps you add it first.
Related skills
Install once, in the tool you use
One install adds every skill and the connection to Bigdata.com. Sign in with your Bigdata.com account; new accounts start with free credits.
Claude
Open the Bigdata.com plugin in the Claude directory (Customize → Plugins → Browse → Partners) and click Install. Sign in with your Bigdata.com account when asked. On Team and Enterprise plans, an admin adds the Bigdata.com connector first.
Open the plugin in Claude
ChatGPT
Go to Settings → Apps, click Add more, choose Bigdata.com and click Connect to sign in with your Bigdata.com account. The skills come with the app. On Business and Enterprise workspaces, an admin enables the app first.
Open in ChatGPT
Copilot Cowork
Open Customize in Microsoft 365 Copilot Cowork, search for Bigdata and click Install. Sign in with your Bigdata.com account when asked.
Open in Copilot CoworkClaude Code
Create an API key on the Bigdata.com Developer Platform and add the Bigdata.com MCP server with it. Then run /plugins in Claude Code and install the Bigdata plugin from the official marketplace.
claude mcp add --transport http bigdata_com https://mcp.bigdata.com/ --header "x-api-key: YOUR_API_KEY"Skills produce research and analysis, not investment advice. Check every number before you act on it.
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